【摘要】 大多数文献认为生产性服务业①发展与经济增长之间存在线性关系。本文考察了生产性服务业发展与经济增长之间的非线性关系。首先分析了生产性服务业发展影响经济增长的路径,然后运用2004-2011年中国20个省市面板数据进行门限回归,结果表明:生产性服务业发展与经济增长具有非线性关系,呈倒U型,当政府规模跨越较高门限值时,生产性服务业发展对经济增长的促进作用降低。更多还原

【Abstract】 According to the linearity assumption between producer services development and economic growth adopted by most empirical literatures,this paper considers the nonlinear relationship between them. Producer services works on economic growth by labor market, service trade and manufacturing production. This paper analysis the nonlinear relationship between producer services development and economic growth using the panel threshold method based on the 20 provincial data from 2004- 2011, the regression result shows: the nonlinear relationship between producer services development and economic growth has an inverted U-shape characteristic,when the size of government expands over higher level,the positive role of producer services development on economic growth will decrease.更多还原