【摘要】 根据大兴安岭地区林业局1975—2004年火灾资料及气象数据,利用logistic回归选择最优配比建立了森林火险天气等级模型,并对其进行检验。经验证该模型具有较好的应用效果,能够为当地林业部门制定防火策略时提供参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the fire records and meteorological data of the Daxing’an Mountain Area Forestry Bureau in Heilongjiang Province from 1975 to 2004,a judgment method of forest fire danger weather level was established by the logistic regression with best ratios and examined by forest fire data. The model has a good application effect and can provide a reference for the local forestry department when formulating the fire prevention strategy.更多还原