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皖江城市带产业结构变动与经济增长关系实证分析
Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Industrial Structure Change and Economic Growth in the Wanjiang City Belt
【摘要】 运用基于VAR模型的动态经济计量分析方法,对皖江城市带产业结构变动与经济增长之间关系进行定量分析。结果表明,皖江城市带产业结构与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系,产业结构变化是经济增长的重要影响因素;但经济增长对产业结构变动却没有显著影响,不是推动产业结构变动的原因。
【Abstract】 It is demonstrated in the quantitative analysis of the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth in the Wanjiang City Belt by use of the dynamic econometric method based on VAR model that there exists that long term and stable equilibrium relationship in which the industrial structure change serves as one of the most important factors to the economic growth and the latter makes no influence on the first,not as the one to promote the industrial structure change.
【关键词】 皖江城市带;
产业结构;
经济增长;
VAR模型;
【Key words】 the Wanjiang City Belt; industrial structure; economic growth; Vector Auto Regression(VAR)model;
【Key words】 the Wanjiang City Belt; industrial structure; economic growth; Vector Auto Regression(VAR)model;
【基金】 安徽省教育厅人文社科重点研究基地重大项目:产业结构变迁对安徽经济增长的计量研究(2010sk167zd)
- 【文献出处】 安徽工业大学学报(社会科学版) ,Journal of Anhui University of Technology(Social Sciences) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2013年03期
- 【分类号】F127
- 【下载频次】73