【摘要】 人口迁移对地区差距影响的程度和趋势目前并没有一致的结论,学术界称之为"迁移谜题"。国内学者们大多数更倾向于认为人口迁移可以有效地促进地区经济增长的收敛,并因此可以促进地区差距的进一步缩小,但是也有一部分学者不这样认为,单就劳动力投入要素来说,他们认为中国省际人口迁移将最终导致地区差距的进一步扩大而不是缩小。本文基于人口迁移提出了一个对人均产出进行剥离的分析框架,考察在去掉人口迁移影响因素前后中国东部、中部、西部地区人均产出及总产出的变化趋势,以及由此带来的东部、中部、西部地区内部差距以及三大地带间增长差距的变化。结论是,自改革开放以来,中国省际人口迁移显著地扩大了东部地区的内部差距、中部地区的内部差距、三大地带间差距、以及中国整体的地区差距,只有西部地区的内部差距因为受到人口迁移的影响而显著地缩小了。更多还原

【Abstract】 The influence of China’s inter-province migrants on regional disparity has not yet reached consensus,which is called "migration puzzle".Most researchers in China tend to take it for granted that population migration could promote the regional convergence of economic growth and reduce regional disparity.However,part of researchers stands on the opposite side.They think it is more reasonable that China’s inter-province migrants could have resulted in the expansion of regional disparity if considering the amount of labor only.In the paper,based on population migration,we use an analytical framework of detaching per capita output by the comparison of removing the migrants or not from labor factor,to research the change of per capita output,total output and regional disparity in the eastern region,central region,and western region.The paper drew conclusion that,since the reform,China’s inter-provincial migrants significantly enlarged the regional disparity between the three regions,the whole disparity in China and the internal disparity in the eastern region and central region.Only the internal disparity in the western region was reduced due to the effect of population migration.更多还原