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考虑非合意产出的水资源利用效率及影响因素研究

Water Resource Utility Efficiency and Its Influencing Factors Considering Undesirable Goods

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【作者】 马海良; 黄德春; 张继国;

【Author】 MA Hai-liang1,2 HUANG De-chun1 ZHANG Ji-guo2(1.Institute for Water Resource Statistic Information of Hohai University,Changzhou Jiangsu 213022,China; 2.Institute for Industrial Economic of Hohai University,Nanjing Jiangsu 210098,China)

【机构】 河海大学水资源统计信息研究所; 河海大学产业经济研究所;

【摘要】 水资源可持续利用是我国经济社会发展的战略问题,其核心是提高水资源利用效率。本文使用1999-2009中国30个省区市际面板数据,选取基于投入导向的DEA模型,测算出含有非合意性产出的全要素水资源利用效率,并以此为基础,采用Tobit回归模型分析中国和分区域水资源利用效率的影响因素。研究结果表明:我国全要素水资源利用效率均值呈现下降-上升-再下降的趋势,且东部、中部、西部水资源利用效率依次递减;我国全要素水资源效率呈发散趋势,各省份之间效率的差距在扩大;经济水平、水资源价格对全要素水资源效率有显著的正向作用,而产业结构和政府影响力却有显著的负向影响。

【Abstract】 Sustainable utility of water resource is the strategy of Chinese economic and social development and the core is to improve water resource utility efficiency.Using 1999-2009 China’s the panel data of 30 provinces,total-factor water resource utility efficiency including undesirable goods is measured based on input-oriented DEA,and on this basis,the influencing factors of water resource utility efficiency are analyzed by Tobit regression model.The results are as follows: the means of water resource utility efficiency show decline-rise-decline trends,and eastern efficiency is the highest while the western efficiency is the lowest;China’s total-factor water resource utility efficiency shows a divergent trend and the gap among various provinces is widening;the economic level and water resource price have significant positive effects on water resource efficiency,but industrial structure and government influence have significant negative impacts.

【基金】 水利部公益性行业科研项目“中国极端洪水干旱预警与风险管理关键技术”(编号:200801027);武汉大学水资源与水电工程国家重点实验室基金项目“流域降水时空分布信息熵模型研究”(编号:2010B067)
  • 【文献出处】 中国人口·资源与环境 ,China Population,Resources and Environment , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年10期
  • 【分类号】TV213.9;F224
  • 【被引频次】129
  • 【下载频次】1632
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