节点文献

飞机人工增雨分层历史回归效果检验方法探讨

Stratified Sampling Historical Regression Method for Aircraft Precipitation Enhancement Effect Test

  • 推荐 CAJ下载
  • PDF下载
  • 不支持迅雷等下载工具,请取消加速工具后下载。

【作者】 王以琳李德生刘诗军

【Author】 WANG Yilin,LI Desheng,and LIU Shijun Shandong Meteorological Institute,Jinan 250031

【机构】 山东省气象科学研究所

【摘要】 在飞机人工增雨中,为提高作业决策和效果检验的客观性,用冰面饱和区、0℃层以上水汽积分量≥9mm区域和水汽向上输送区作为确定作业目标区指标;用碘化银粒子浓度q≥10L-1的区域作为确定作业影响区的范围;用作业目标区、总雨量等值线和相关系数检验等约束条件选择对比区。在建立回归方程时,用天气系统分型和相同作业时段等方法确定回归样本。采用单次活动对比区和影响区分层历史回归方法建立飞机人工增雨效果检验系统并在业务中使用,该方法物理意义明确,在决策作业和效果检验的实践中有重要意义。

【Abstract】 To strengthen the objectivity of aircraft precipitation enhancement operation decision-making and effect testing,the operation target area can be determined by the ice saturation,accumulated water vapor layer below 0°C thicker than 9mm,and vertical water vapor transport;the operation effect area can be determined by the zone where the AgI particle concentration is greater than or equal to 10 L1,and the comparison area can be chosen using the operation target area,total precipitation isoline,and related-coefficient test.When the regression equation is established,the weather system types and the same operation period determine the regression samples.An aircraft precipitation enhancement effect test system was established in which one operation uses stratified sample and historical regression in the variable comparison area and influence area.The system has been used in business.The method has clear physical meaning and is important in operation decision-making and effect testing.

【基金】 公益性行业(气象)科研专项GYHY201006031
  • 【文献出处】 气候与环境研究 ,Climatic and Environmental Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年06期
  • 【分类号】P481
  • 【被引频次】7
  • 【下载频次】110
节点文献中: 

本文链接的文献网络图示:

本文的引文网络