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我国货币政策对稳定物价有效性的实证分析

The Empirical Analysis of China’s Monetary Policy Effectuality on Price Stability

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【作者】 焦继军李晓宁

【Author】 JIAO Ji-jun1,LI Xiao-ning2(1.School Financicl,Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450002,China; 2.School of Business,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China)

【机构】 河南财经政法大学金融学院中南大学商学院

【摘要】 2009年以来,面对持续走高的物价,央行采取了连续上调准备金率的政策,以求减少货币供给量,稳定物价。通过建立CPI、广义货币供给量M2和GDP之间的回归模型,对1994~2010年的数据进行回归分析,得出了我国货币政策对稳定物价有效的结论。认为治理通货膨胀要采取多样化的宏观经济政策,注意货币政策、财政政策的搭配使用。同时要加快人民币汇率体制改革,促进产业结构调整和经济发展方式的转变。

【Abstract】 Since 2009,in the situation of sustained high prices,China’s central bank has raised the statutory reserve rate,tried to reduce the money supply to stabilize prices.On this basis,the article established the regression model among the consumer price index,M2 money supply growth rate and GDP growth rate,through regression analysis based on the data of 1994-2010 we concluded that monetary policy on price stability is effective,and economic growth itself affect the price level internally.Therefore,to cope with the inflation we suggest taking measures of diversity macro-economic policies,and implementing monetary policy,fiscal policy and industrial policy coordinately.At the same time,accelerate the reformation of RMB exchange rate,and change the pattern of China’s economic development.

  • 【文献出处】 经济问题 ,On Economic Problems , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年05期
  • 【分类号】F224;F822.0;F726
  • 【被引频次】9
  • 【下载频次】493
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