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土地利用结构演变对产业结构转型的有效性分析

Analysis on the Influence of the Evolution of Land Use Structure on Industrial Restructuring

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【作者】 周显鹏; 翟文侠; 柯新利;

【Author】 ZHOU Xian-peng et al(Department of Resources and Environment Sciencee,Hubei University of Science and Technology,Xianning,Hubei 437100)

【机构】 咸宁学院资源与环境科学学院;

【摘要】 运用转型系数(TC),计算得出西宁市土地利用结构和产业结构转型特点:1999~2010年间土地利用结构系数θ1下降了79.55%,但总体演变趋势平缓;产业结构转型系数θ2总体趋势不断下降,下降了36.09%,总体转型系数相对土地利用结构略大;两者年际变化均有所起伏:1999~2007年年际变化较大,2008~2010年年趋于平缓。在自相关和协整模型基础上,分析得出:①西宁市土地利用结构对产业结构转型具有促进作用;②二者存在长期均衡关系。最后,提出了西宁市产业发展的相关政策建议。

【Abstract】 Based on the transform coefficient(TC),the characteristics of land use structure and industrial restructuring in Xining were obtained.The land use structure coefficient θ1 had dropped by 79.55% during 1999-2010,but the overall change tended to be stable;the industrial structure reform coefficient θ2 had dropped by 36.09% during 1999-2010,which was slightly larger than that of land use structure.Both two experienced large fluctuations from 1999 to 2007 but tended to be stable during 2008-2010.Through the autocorrelation and co-integration models,it was found out that the land use structure promoted the industrial restructuring in Xining,and there was a long-term equilibrium between them.Finally some suggestions were proposed for the industrial development of Xining.

【基金】 国家自然科学基金资助项目(41101098);咸宁学院青年项目(KY10044,KY10043,KY11050)
  • 【文献出处】 安徽农业科学 ,Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences , 编辑部邮箱 ,2012年14期
  • 【分类号】F301.24;F121.3;F224
  • 【被引频次】4
  • 【下载频次】310
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