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经济增长方式转变中的金融支持——来自长三角的实证分析
Financial Supports in the Pattern Transformation of Economic Growth:an Empirical and Structural Study on Yangtze River Delta
【摘要】 本文以长三角为例,从银行发展、证券市场、金融开放等金融层次探讨了其与经济增长方式转变之间的相互关系。研究发现:信贷规模与增长方式转变之间存在双向因果关系,但这种关系更多地体现为增长方式转变效率的提高推动银行信贷规模扩张;增长方式的积极转变促进了本地银行内部效率的提高,但银行效率的提高并未明显促进本地增长方式的积极转变;从长期来看,增长方式转变与证券一级市场相互促进,但证券二级市场并未明显体现出其与增长方式转变之间的相关关系;无论是长期还是短期,金融开放与增长方式转变之间均互为因果关系并相互促进。本文分析了其中的原因并提出了相应政策性建议。
【Abstract】 Based on the data form Yangtze River Delta,this paper gives an empirical analysis on the relationship between Economic Growth Pattern Transformation(EGPT) and financial supports.It indicates that there is a dual causality between credit scale and EGPT,but this causality is represented more in the person of EGPT to credit scale.Positive EGPT improves the interior efficiency of local banks,but the efficiency improvement of local banks does not obviously bring positive EGPT.In a long term,EGPT promotes securities primary market for each other,but there no correlative relations between securities secondary market and EGPT.Whether in a long term or a short term,there is a two-way causality between financial opening and EGPT.Finally,this paper shows the reason and puts out some suggestions.
【Key words】 financial supports; economic growth pattern transformation(EGPT); total factor productivity(TFP); Geweke decomposition test;
- 【文献出处】 中国软科学 ,China Soft Science , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年05期
- 【分类号】F120.3;F832.4;F224
- 【被引频次】32
- 【下载频次】1105