【摘要】 采用河南省1993～2009年出口额、FDI与GDP的时间序列数据,运用Johansen、Juselius协整检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解的计量方法,实证研究河南省出口贸易、FDI对其经济增长的影响。研究结果显示:出口贸易与GDP、FDI与GDP之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系和显著的Granger因果关系;出口贸易、FDI对河南省经济增长都有较强的促进作用,它们对经济增长的脉冲响应总体上都是正向响应,但出口比FDI对经济增长的推动作用更强一些。最后根据研究结果提出加快出口、FDI增长以带动GDP增长的建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper studies empirically the impact of export trade and FDI on GDP in Henan Province,by using time series data of exports amout FDI and GDP from 1993 to 2009 and based on JJ cointegration test,impulse response function and variance decomposition.The study results show that: there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship and significant causality existing between "export trade and GDP " as well as "FDI and GDP ";the export trade and FDI have a strong effect on improving the economic growth of Henan Province,and their impulse response to economic growth is generally positive response,while export plays a more important improving role on economic growth than FDI.Finally,the paper gives suggestions about improving export、and FDI to improve economic growth based on study results.更多还原