【摘要】 不确定性预期与居民消费需求紧密相关。根据中国当前经济增长方式中居民消费需求不足的现状,结合学术界关于消费经济理论的研究前沿,利用1998～2008年中国29个省市(自治区)城镇居民的相关数据,就未来收入、未来支出、未来流动性约束的不确定预期对城镇居民消费需求的影响进行实证分析。计量结果表明,增强城镇居民对未来收入的确定性预期,是促进居民消费需求的重要选择。更多还原

【Abstract】 Uncertainty expectation is closely related with the consumption demand of urban residents.According to the present economic growth pattern of China that the consumption demand of Chinese is insufficient,and the latest researches on consumption economic theories,an empirical analysis is made on the influence of the uncertainty expectation of future income,future expenditure,and future liquidity constraint on the consumption demand of urban residents by using data from 29 provinces and cities(or autonomous regions) from 1998 to 2008.The results show that it is an important choice to strengthen the certainty expectation of urban residents’ future income to promote their consumption demand.更多还原