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传染病的数学模型及其动力学特征研究

Research on mathematical models of infectious diseases and their dynamic characters

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【作者】 陈大学

【Author】 CHEN Da-xue(College of Science,Hunan Institute of Engineering,Xiangtan,Hunan 411101,China)

【机构】 湖南工程学院理学院

【摘要】 目的:探讨几类传染病的传播与流行规律。方法:利用微分方程理论建立传染病的数学模型并对模型进行动力学分析。结果:建立了传染病的几个数学模型,并获得了模型的一些动力学特征。结论:某些传染病存在区分传染病是否会流行的阈值。当有关参数值不超过该阈值时,传染病不会流行。当有关参数值大于该阈值时,传染病会流行。

【Abstract】 Objective:To investigate the spread regularities of several types of infectious diseases.Methods:The mathematical models of infectious diseases were established and performed the analysis on the dynamic characters of the models by means of the theory of differential equations.Results:Several mathematical models of infectious diseases were established and some dynamic characters of the models were obtained.Conclusion:For certain infectious diseases,there exists a threshold level which distinguishes whether the infectious diseases will spread.If the related parameter value does not exceed the threshold level,the infectious diseases will not spread;if the related parameter value is greater than the threshold level,the infectious disease will spread.

  • 【文献出处】 现代医药卫生 ,Modern Medicine & Health , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年24期
  • 【分类号】R181.3
  • 【下载频次】362
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