节点文献
运量需求不平衡航线下的客流量预测
Passenger Volumes Forecast in Traffic Demand Unbalanced Route
【摘要】 以蛇口——香港机场航线为例,分析航线运量需求不平衡的特点,指出灰色波形预测及季节周期法两种现有预测方法存在的不足,为使航线客流量预测值更符合实际,提出季节-灰色组合预测模型,以实例计算证明该模型的可行性。
【Abstract】 Taking the Shekou— Hong Kong airport route as an example,the characteristics of demand unbalanced was analysis,the disadvantages of the methods of gray wave forecasts and seasonal cycles were pointed out.To improve the prediction accuracy,the season-gray prediction mold was proposed by a practical example.
【关键词】 运量需求不平衡航线;
客流量预测;
季节-灰色组合预测模型;
【Key words】 traffic demand unbalanced route; traffic prediction; season-gray prediction model;
【Key words】 traffic demand unbalanced route; traffic prediction; season-gray prediction model;
- 【文献出处】 船海工程 ,Ship & Ocean Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年03期
- 【分类号】F224;F562
- 【被引频次】2
- 【下载频次】107