【摘要】 对未来的不确定性预期是制约居民消费需求的重要因素。文章根据我国当前经济增长方式中居民消费需求不足的现状,结合学术界关于消费经济理论的研究前沿,利用1986—2008年中国城镇居民的相关数据,就未来收入、未来支出、未来流动性约束的不确定预期,对城镇居民消费需求的影响进行了实证分析,并基于模型分析的结果,提出缓解居民对未来的不确定性预期,增强居民消费需求的政策导向建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The uncertain expectation to future plays an important part in inadequate demand of consumer.According to the current situation in China,the forefront theory research on consumption economy and Chinese urban residents’ time series data from 1986 to 2008,this paper analyzes the influence of uncertain expectation to revenues,expenses,liquidity constraints in the future on demand of urban residents.Based on the relevant results,it also indicates the policy implications of easing the uncertain expectation to future to increase consumer demand.更多还原