【摘要】 本文引入空间统计和空间计量经济分析技术,分析了中国省域经济增长及其分解要素的收敛性。研究表明:物质资本增长是经济增长的主要动力源泉。在考虑空间依赖性的情况下,经济增长具有较为显著的全域性收敛。在经济增长的源泉中,由于物质资本积累与效率改善控制经济增长收敛方向的差异,使得区域经济增长趋同,人力资本存量与技术进步使得经济增长趋异。要保持中国未来持续的高速经济增长,必须将资本投入型增长转变为依靠人力资本和技术进步的增长。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper tests the economic growth convergence by β-convergence formula with spatial data analysis.The conclusions are as follows:the capital growth contributes the most power to China’s economic growth;economic growth has strong spatial autocorrelation in China;the economic growth is convergence if considering spatial autocorrelation;the paper finds capital change and efficiency change make economic growth convergence;knowledge and technical change make economic growth divergence.In China,the growth mode must be transformed from relying on capital to knowledge and technical change to keep a sustainable rapid growth.更多还原