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基于风险分析方法的首车疏解车头时距

Modeling first discharge headway based on hazard analysis

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【作者】 刘明君孙全欣高利平陈振起毛保华

【Author】 LIU Ming-jun1,2,SUN Quan-xin2,GAO Li-ping3,CHEN Zhen-qi4,MAO Bao-hua2(1.Institute of Comprehensive Transportation,National Development and Reform Commission,Beijing 100038,China;2.MOE Key Laboratory for Urban Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;3.Unit 29,Army 66019,PLA Beijing Military Area,Beijing 100144,China;4.Yangzhou Urban Planning Bureau,Urban Planning Research Center,Yangzhou 225002,China)

【机构】 国家发展和改革委员会综合运输研究所北京交通大学城市交通复杂系统理论与技术教育部重点实验室北京军区66019部队29分队扬州市规划局城市规划编制研究中心

【摘要】 构建了信号交叉口首车疏解车头时距的风险分析模型。提出了模型参数标定方法,并以北京为例,通过信号交叉口的实测数据标定了参数。根据参数标定结果,对混合交通流情况下首车疏解车头时距的分布进行了描述,并定量分析了各种影响因素的效果。结果表明,北京信号交叉口首车疏解车头时距长于其他国家和地区。它受车辆类型、交叉口环境的复杂程度和车流特性等因素影响明显。起动干扰使首车平均疏解车头时距由3.99 s增长到5.47 s,行驶干扰使之由4.15 s延长到6.65 s,极大地降低了交通运行效率。

【Abstract】 A hazard analysis model was built for the first discharge headway of queuing vehicles at the signalized intersections.The calibration method was proposed for the model parameters and the calibration was performed using the traffic data collected from the signalized intersections in Beijing.The distribution of the first discharge headways in the heterogeneous traffic flow was described and the effects of different factors were analyzed quantitatively.The results show the first discharge headway at the signalized intersections in Beijing is much longer than those in other countries and regions.It is obviously affected by the vehicle type,the complexity of the environment at the intersection and the traffic flow behavior.The starting disturbance increases the average first discharge headway from 3.99 s to 5.47 s,the moving disturbance prolongs it from 4.15 s to 6.65 s,both factors reduce the traffic operation efficiency significantly.

【基金】 “973”国家重点基础研究发展规划项目(2006CB705507);国家自然科学基金项目(70631001,70571005);北京市科委项目(D07020601400702)
  • 【文献出处】 吉林大学学报(工学版) ,Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年05期
  • 【分类号】U491
  • 【被引频次】3
  • 【下载频次】119
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