【摘要】 利用1990～2009年江苏省农村经济、金融相关数据,运用格兰杰检验和ADF平稳性检验方法并通过建立OLS模型及灰色关联模型对农村经济增长与农村金融发展的关系及其依存度进行了实证分析。结果表明农村经济增长与农村金融发展存在很高的依存度和关联度,农村金融机构贷款的作用尤为重要。基于分析结果建议采取积极有效的政策措施促进农村金融发展,以带动农村经济发展和新农村建设。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the method of granger causality test and ADF stability test,establishing OLS model and gray correlation analysis model,as well as rural economic and finance data from 1990 to 2009 of Jiangsu Province,this paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between the degree of dependence on rural economic growth and rural finance development by the Granger causality test based on the VAR model.The result shows that rural finance development plays an important role in promoting rural economic growth,which,in turn,depends greatly on the loans from rural financial institutions.Finally,this paper suggests that effective polices should be made to promote rural finance development,in order to accelerate the construction of new countryside.更多还原