【摘要】 通过对我国经济增长与产业结构的实证分析,认为中长期内我国经济增长仍是工业占有主导地位,城市化进程仍需要一段时期。但在我国经济增长短期却发生了增长动力的变化,第三产业已经超越第二产业成为我国经济增长的"第一动力"。格兰杰因果检验也同时表明,第三产业将逐渐替代第二产业成为我国经济增长的主导性力量。更多还原

【Abstract】 Followed by China’s economic growth and industrial structure of the empirical analysis,the paper indicates medium and long term economic growth in China is still the industry share dominant position,the urbanization process will take some time.However,short-term economic growth in China has undergone a change in momentum.The secondary industry tertiary industry has surpassed the economic growth of China as "the first power".Granger causality test also showed that the tertiary industry will gradually replace the secondary industry become the dominant force of economic growth.更多还原