【摘要】 利用现有预报业务中使用的各种常规、新型观(探)测资料,对2010年6月13～16日广西梧州市出现的连续暴雨天气过程,特别是15日梧州北部强对流大暴雨天气过程成因及预报技术难点等分析,结果表明:强对流暴雨主要由一个中尺度雨团在梧州北部附近活动而造成,冷空气与低层切变辐合配合使得强回波带在梧州北部近似静止,是造成此次强降水的主要原因;中小尺度系统分析判断为降水落区和预警预报起到关键作用。更多还原

【Abstract】 Using a variety of meteorological observational data,the severe convective storm process in Wuzhou city on June 13～16,2010 was analyzed.The results show that the strong convective heavy rainfall on June 15 was mainly caused by a mesoscale rain cluster in the north of Wuzhou.The convergence of cold air and low level shear makes the strong mesoscale rain cluster approximately stationary in the northern Wuzhou.更多还原