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大连出口影响因素的实证分析
Empirical analysis on influence factors of Dalian’s export
【摘要】 采用一个考虑需求因素、供给因素、汇率、FDI、结构变化的综合出口决定模型进行实证研究,结果表明:大连总量出口收入弹性、供给弹性、FDI弹性分别为4.33、0.91、0.19,汇率效应不存在,结构变动效应存在;大连对七大出口国(地区)出口的影响因素存在显著差异。并根据实证研究结论提出出口可持续发展的5条政策建议。
【Abstract】 By a general export model with demand factors,supply factors,RMB’s exchange rate,FDI and structural change,empirical study shows: the income elasticity,the supply elasticity and the FDI elasticity of Dalian’s total export is 4.33,0.91,0.19 respectively,but the effect of RMB’s exchange rate on Dalian’s total export is not significant,but the effect of structural change on Dalian’s total export is significant.The influence factors of Dalian’s export for seven big export countries(regions) are not the same.According to the empirical study conclusions,the paper advanced five policy suggestions for keeping sustainable export growth.
- 【文献出处】 大连海事大学学报(社会科学版) ,Journal of Dalian Maritime University(Social Science Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2011年03期
- 【分类号】F752.62
- 【被引频次】4
- 【下载频次】171