【摘要】 认为各种交通方式在满足居民出行时不仅是互补关系,同时也存在竞争关系。它们的发展遵循"优胜劣汰,适者生存"自然法则,淘汰机制是人工选择。基于该视角,以南京城市道路交通发展为实例,分析了各种交通方式的发展势态、居民对它们的偏好及其各自的优势范围,认为公共交通在交通体系中地位下降是必然结果。最后认为,在强调市场竞争机制的转型期,要扭转该趋势,必须通过政府手段来提高公共交通的竞争力。更多还原

【Abstract】 The relationship among travel modes is both complementary and competitive. The eventual outcome is a result of"the survival of the fittest"by human selections. Using transportation data of the Nanjing Metropolitan Region,the paper analyzes three issues,namely the development trend of a variety of travel modes, people’s transportation preferences and the advantages of individual mode.It concludes that the decline of public transit is a result of natural selection and in the transitional economy,the government must take actions to increase the competitiveness of urban transit so as to reverse the current trend.更多还原