【摘要】 文章介绍了重庆市一般均衡模型(CGE模型)的基本结构,并模拟分析了耕地面积减少对重庆经济的影响。研究表明:耕地减少对种植业造成较大的负面影响,引起了消费、投资的减少和城镇居民的福利降低。耕地减少引起了净流出的增加,并促使农业劳动力向非农产业转移,改善了农村居民的福利。应制定合理的土地利用规划降低耕地减少带来的负面影响。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper introduces the basic structure of Chongqing CGE Model,on which an analysis about the impact of cultivated land reduction on Chongqing economy is based.The simulation results show that the reduction of cultivated land could bring negative effects on the planting industry,reduce the consumption and investment,and also cause the welfare loss of urban residents.Cultivated land reduction may cause the net outflow increase,promote the transforming of rural labor from agricultural sectors to nonagricultural sectors,and improve the welfare of rural residents.Reasonable land use planning should be made to reduce the negative impact of the cultivated land reduction on Chongqing economy.更多还原