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中国与俄罗斯双边贸易关系的实证研究

An Empirical Study of Bilateral Trade between China and Russia

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【作者】 宋志刚韩丽丽魏浩

【Author】 SONG Zhi-gang HAN Li-li WEI Hao

【机构】 北京师范大学中国社会科学院

【摘要】 本文利用1996-2006年期间的统计数据,运用显性比较优势指数、贸易强度指数和贸易互补性指数,对中俄两国的贸易关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:在初级产品生产上,俄罗斯处于比较优势,中国处于比较劣势;在劳动密集型产品生产上,中国具有较强的比较优势,俄罗斯处于比较劣势;在资本或技术密集型产品生产上,虽然两国都不具备明显的比较优势,但中国明显比俄罗斯更具后发优势;中俄之间存在着较为显著的贸易联系,且产业内贸易多于产业间贸易,两国之间的经贸关系有着巨大的发展潜力;中俄之间存在着互补性贸易,但在不同的行业或产品中存在较大差异,两国初级产品存在的互补关系最为明显。

【Abstract】 By measuring the revealed comparative advantage index,the trade intensity index and the trade complementarity index between China and Russia,this article compares the two countries’ merchandise structure of trade with each other.An empirical analysis shows that Russia has comparative advantage over China in primary products while falling behind China in labor-intensive products.Although both of them show comparative disadvantage in capital-intensive and technology-intensive products,China shows more post-developing advantages.There is a strong trade relationship between the two countries,with more intra-industry trade than inter-industry trade,which manifests great developing potential.There exists trade complementarity between China and Russia,which is not that significant;but it diversifies greatly among different industries or products,while the significantly trade connection lies in the section of primary products.

  • 【文献出处】 中央财经大学学报 ,Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年05期
  • 【分类号】F752.7
  • 【被引频次】54
  • 【下载频次】1123
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