【摘要】 情感预测是预测将来的情绪状态。情感预测时会表现出各种偏差,例如免疫性忽略、聚焦错觉和共情鸿沟。本文从认知-体验自我理论和心理模拟的角度对情感预测偏差的原因进行了整合,对情感预测偏差的个体差异和矫正进行了分析。情感预测的未来研究方向应该从心理-行为机制、进化机制和脑机制几个方面展开。更多还原

【Abstract】 Affective forecasting refers to the prediction of one’s emotional state in the future.This kind of prediction is affected by various kinds of cognitive biases,i.e.immune neglect,focalism and empathy gap.This article integrated the causes of these cognitive biases from the point of view of cognitive-experiential self theory and mental simulation,introduced individual differences and interventions of affective forecasting biases.In the end,the possible trends for the future research focus on psychology-behavior mechanism,evolutionary and brain mechanism of affective forecasting.更多还原