【摘要】 针对第三方物流项目风险的特点,从第三方物流规划项目的实际要求出发,建立第三方物流项目风险评价指标体系,提出BP模糊神经网络的模型及算法,设计网络并进行网络训练,通过实证分析证明了模型具有较好的预测风险效果,为第三方物流项目风险的预测提供了一种新的思路。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the actual planning requirements and characteristics of project risk in third-party logistics,an evaluation index system of risk in third-party logistics projects was put forward.Then a fuzzy BP neural network was designed.After the network had been trained,the fuzzy BP neural network model and algorithm was employed to forecast the risk of third-party logistics project.Through the empirical analysis it was proved that the model showed better results in predicting risk.The method showed a new way to forecast the risk of third-party logistics project.更多还原