【摘要】 为研究区域水资源利用、水污染防治与国民经济发展之间的关系,优化国民经济产业结构,合理控制水资源利用及水污染治理水平,应用最优控制理论和优化技术,依据所设计并编制的水资源利用、水污染防治投入产出模型,构建了水资源利用、水污染防治投入产出最优控制模型,分析探讨了模型中主要参数的确定方法。最后以江苏省为例,应用该模型优化求解了满足江苏省国民经济发展要求及水资源可持续利用和水污染控制要求的国民经济各部门产出水平、发展速度以及各年度水资源使用总量和水污染治理总量。计算结果表明:2006—2010年,江苏省在控制高耗水、高污染部门发展速度不超过10%的同时,水资源使用总量年增长速度应控制在5%~7%左右,COD去除量的增长速度需达到年平均34%左右,方能满足江苏省国民经济发展和水资源、水环境可持续利用的要求。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the optimal control theory and relevant technology the optimal input-output control model for water resources utilization and water pollution control is established. The method for determining the main parameters of the model were analyzed and investigated, and the model was solved. Then output level of each sector of national economy, speed of development and the corresponding total amount of water resources use and water pollution control from 2006 to 2010 which meet the sustainable utilization of water resources and the requirement of water pollution control of the Jiangsu Province were obtained. The analysis of calculation results show that the development speed of industries with high water consumption and high pollution should be controlled within 10%, meanwhile, the total amount of water consumption should be controlled to the annual growth rate of 5% - 7% and the total amount of COD removal should reach an annual average of about 34% from 2006 to 2010. These can meet the requirements of economic development, water resources and water environment for the sustainable utilization in the Jiangsu Province.更多还原