【摘要】 本文采用季节性时间序列模型,对我国保险业2002年1月至2008年11月的赔付支出数据进行分析,建立了Box-Jenkins季节模型,结果显示该模型具有较好的预测效果,可为我国保险业赔付的监管与决策提供参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper,we use the seasonal time series model to analyze compensation date of Chinese insurance industry from January 2002 to November 2008 and establish the Box-Jenkins seasonal model. the results showed that the model has better prediction results,which can be used to provide reference for regulatory of Chinese insurance compensation and decision-making.更多还原