【摘要】 能源系统作为开放的有机整体,是一个无确定边界的、与环境耦合的实体。定义了描述该实体的新物理量,由此建立了能源系统演化和评价的新模型,对"参考情景"、"可选择情景"以及"高经济增长情景"三种模式下的中国能源系统结构演化进行了案例分析,得到了合理的结果。该模型也为一般的社会经济系统发展提供了比笛卡尔-牛顿式的机械模型和熵增的热寂模型更合理的图景。更多还原

【Abstract】 As an open organic unit,energy system is a reality with uncertain interface and is dependent on environment.By defining a new parameter for the reality, a new structural evolution-assessment model for energy systems is established.Structural evolution of China energy systems under three patterns (reference case,selectable case and high economic growth) are investigated as examples,through which reasonable results are obtained.It also provides a more reasonable world perspective for general social economic systems than Descartes-Newtonian mechanical model and heal death model of entropy growth do.更多还原