【摘要】 对传统型彩票和乐透型彩票评奖方案的合理性问题进行研究.运用模糊数学理论建立模糊综合评判模型;通过构造吸引力效用函数建立吸引力效用评判模型;通过构造潜在购买量函数建立潜在购买量评判模型,评价得出比较合理的彩票销售方案.最后设计模型的优化方案并用蒙特卡洛优化法进行求解,给出改进评奖方案的建议.更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper researches how to evaluate the rationality of the general prize-winning evaluating procedures on the traditional lottery and lotto,building fuzzy comprehensive judgement model,attraction utility function judgement model and potential quantity bought judgement model,and getting some more rational prize-winning evaluating procedures.Finally,there are some advice to improve these general prize-winning evaluating procedures by optimizing the second model and solving it with Monte Carlo Optimization method.更多还原