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森林碳汇影响因素的灰色关联分析——基于辽宁等20个省、区面板数据的实证分析

Gray Incidence Analysis on Forest Carbon Sequestration——An Empirical Study based on Panel Data of 20 Provinces

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【作者】 续珊珊贾利李友华

【Author】 Xu Shanshan Jia Li Li Youhua(School of Economic Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin150030)

【机构】 东北农业大学经济管理学院

【摘要】 根据森林资源清查以及生物量转换因子法计算的森林碳汇量,选取造林面积、受害森林面积、森林病虫鼠害发生面积、木材产量以及营林基本建设投资完成额等指标作为森林碳汇量的相关影响因素,开展对辽宁、河北等20个省森林碳汇影响因素的灰色关联分析。结果表明:木材产量是最主要的影响因素,与其他指标相比较,营林基本建设投资完成额在促进森林碳汇量增长方面的作用相对较弱。

【Abstract】 As global warming is much concerned around the world, forest carbon sequestration becomes a hot topic among scholars domestic and abroad.Forest plays an irreplaceable role in regulating global carbon balance, reducing concentrations of greenhouse gases such as CO2 in the atmosphere, and slowing down global warming.According to the forest carbon sequestration calculated by methodology of biomass expansion factor based on forest inventory, this paper took afforestation area, the affected forest area, forest area with pests and rat disasters, timber output, and silvicultural capital construction investment as the influencing factor, to achieve gray incidence analysis on forest carbon sequestration of 20 Provinces.The conclusion is that timber output is the most important influencing factor, and compared with other indicators, silvicultural capital construction investment plays a relatively weak role in promoting the growth of forest carbon sequestration.

【基金】 黑龙江省博士后基金(项目编号:LBH-Q07012)资助;东北农业大学科学研究启动基金“黑龙江省森林经济问题研究”的阶段性成果
  • 【文献出处】 林业经济 ,Forestry Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年03期
  • 【分类号】X21
  • 【被引频次】14
  • 【下载频次】1187
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