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改革开放以来中国区域工业增长影响因素及对当前“保增长”的启示

The Analysis of the Main Factors Affected the Regional Industrial Growth Since 1978 and the Enlightenment to the Current Task of Maintaining Economic Growth

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【作者】 刘楷

【Author】 LIU Kai (Institute of Industrial Economics of CASS,Beijing,100836,China)

【机构】 中国社会科学院工业经济研究所

【摘要】 区域工业的增长,受到工业固定资产投资、出口和消费的影响。改革开放30年来,上述要素对我国区域工业增长的影响,大致经历了从投资拉动到出口拉动又回复到投资拉动的循环,这一过程对我国当前实现"保增长"任务,具有重要的启示。首先,现阶段投资仍是促进地区工业发展的第一位因素;第二,投资和市场需求相结合,才能取得显著效果;第三,应客观认识出口对工业增长的拉动效应;第四,调整工业结构是扩大内需的重要手段。

【Abstract】 The regional industrial growth is influenced by investment,export and domestic demand in general. Since 1978,the growth of the China’s regional industrial economics experienced three stages according to its main influential factor.That was investment dominated period,export dominated period and returning to investment dominated period.The course of this change enlightens us very much in the complete the task of maintain economic growth raised by the central government.First,investment is still the key element in the promotion of regional industrial growth.Second,only a better combination of investment and demand,can we achieve a significant growth.Third,export-oriented economy should be readjusted in its structure in order to maintaining its growth momentum in the future.Finally,the readjustment of industrial structure is one of the important means to fulfill the task of expand domestic demand.

【关键词】 工业增长投资出口消费保增长启示
【Key words】 industrial growthinvestmentexportdomestic demandmaintain growthenlightenment
  • 【文献出处】 经济管理 ,Economic Management Journal , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年02期
  • 【分类号】F424
  • 【被引频次】6
  • 【下载频次】237
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