【摘要】 为了建立一体化的客运换乘体系和货运服务体系,实现综合运输,以北京市客货运输发展现状为基础,运用多种预测方法,对北京市未来的公路客货运量的发展趋势进行了分析和预测。根据OD调查结果,通过建立方向性转移概率矩阵,确定了客货运适站量的流向分布,对北京市的公路运输枢纽的布局规划进行了调整和优化,对信息系统的总体结构和网络结构进行了整体设计,并提出了公路运输枢纽建设经营的政策和建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to establish the change system of passenger transport and the service system of freight transportation,achieve colligation transportation,on the basis of analysis transportation development actuality of Beijing City,the paper predicts the highway goods volume and guests volume in many forecast methods and the future of Beijing’s road passenger and freight traffic between the development trend analysis and projections.Based on the OD findings,through establishing the direction transition probability matrix,the flow distribution of the appropriate passenger and freight traffic stops is determined,the adjustment and optimization of the Beijing’s road transportion hinge planning are carry out,the overall structure of information systems and network structure are overall designed,and the operations policy and suggestions for construction of a road transportation hinge are put forward.更多还原