【摘要】 以甘肃经济发展与环境之间关系的研究为例,根据甘肃省"十一五"节能减排任务,建立了主要污染物排放的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)模型。通过该模型计量了2007-2008年主要环境污染走势曲线,预测了节能减排以后的控制总量。模型显示:在2007年和2008年甘肃省的废水排放量将呈现明显的上升趋势,固体废物亦呈现上升趋势,废气排放有明显的下降趋势;同时明确了甘肃省"十一五"期间的减排形势,其中废水与固体废物的减排任务较重,二氧化硫等废气减排任务相对较轻。建议选择重点行业重点污染物作为试点进行减排新技术的研发和推广,同时大力推广省内外已有的循环经济发展的成功经验,从深度和广度双向拓展其应用范围等。更多还原

【Abstract】 The relation between economic growth and environment in Gansu Province was taken as a case.Based on the "11th Five-Year Plan" task of energy-saving and emission reduction,the environment Kuznets curve(EKC) model of discharging main pollutants emission was built.The model measured the curve of the total discharge of major pollutants and emission reduction and energy-saving during the years 2007-2008,and predicted the volume control after the emission reduction and energy-saving.The model showed that waste water emissions will be shown an obvious upward trend,and solid waste discharge will also increase,the emission of waste gas will significantly decrease.The task of reducing solid waste and waste water discharge is heavier than that of waste gas and sulfur dioxide emission during the "11th Five-Year Plan" period.更多还原