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太原市主要大气污染物分析与预测

Taiyuan Main Air Pollutant Appraisal Analysis and Forecast

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【作者】 余光辉李玲玲李振国李博超

【Author】 Yu Guanghui,Li Lingling,Li Zhenguo,Li Bochao(The Department of Resource Environment & Planning Management in Urban/Rural Areas of Hunan Science and Technology University,Xiangtan 411201,China)

【机构】 湖南科技大学资源环境与城乡规划管理系

【摘要】 太原市是一个以重工业为支柱产业的城市,大气环境污染一度相当严重,最近几年太原市不断加大对环境的整治力度,大气质量有所改善。本文从环境现状及其产生的原因进行分析,并根据目前太原市主要大气污染物采用平均增长率、回归分析法、灰色预测三种不同方法预测到2018年太原市的主要大气污染物变化。结果表明,太原市的大气质量将逐步好转。最后提出治理大气污染的建议与措施。

【Abstract】 Taiyuan is a city of taking the heavy industry as pillar industry.The air environmental pollution once was very serious.In recently several years,Taiyuan has enlarged unceasingly to the environment improvement dynamics and improved the air quality.This article carries on the analysis from the reason and produces which is from the environment present situation,and uses the average growth rate,the analysis regression,the gray forecast methods to forecast the change of air pollutants according to Taiyuan main air pollutants in recently several years.The result showed the air quality of Taiyuan will be improved from 2008 to 2018 years.Finally we proposed that the pointed suggestion.

【关键词】 太原市大气污染物分析预测
【Key words】 Taiyuan cityair pollutantanalysisforecast
【基金】 湖南省教育厅赞助项目08C348;湖南科技大学博士基金资助项目E50821
  • 【文献出处】 环境科学与管理 ,Environmental Science and Management , 编辑部邮箱 ,2010年04期
  • 【分类号】X511
  • 【被引频次】25
  • 【下载频次】486
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