【摘要】 对水上交通事故的确定性和不确定性等数学性质进行综合评判,建立了基于单因素脆性因子的长江干线水上交通安全预警模型方法。以荆州长江公路大桥枯水期的安全预警应用实例,证实该模型方法具有可行性。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the waterway vessel accident’s cause-reason principal,it recommended the science of complexity to conduct early-warning mathematical application on the risk certainty and uncertainty.The early-warning model was set up based on single brittleness factors.With the application on Jingzhou Bridge case,the result showed that single brittleness factor model appears to be effective.更多还原