【摘要】 面对今年日益严重的经济衰退,大多数学者主张摒弃现有发展模式,借鉴发达国家发展道路,摆脱困境。本文运用比较分析法,探讨决定这些国家经济发展模式的背景,即两次国际产业转移的本质区别,发现产业区域化处于国际产业转移生命周期的成熟阶段,在短期内回归高工资、高资本技术构成、高劳动生产率、高价格和高人均GDP状态,仅仅让发达国家的人们享受工业文明的好处,表现为典型的贵族化特点;产业全球化处于标准化阶段,长期性的低工资、低资本技术构成、低劳动生产率、低价格和低人均GDP,让越来越多的发展中国家的人们,享受到越来越多的工业文明的实惠,表现为典型的平民化特点。为此,中国未来仍然应延续低成本、低工资的发展战略,适当的产业升级为辅,避免重蹈西方产业空心化的覆辙。更多还原

【Abstract】 Under the circumstances of economic depression this year,many scholars suggest abandoning current development pattern and learning from developed countries to get through difficult situations. This paper applies comparative analysis,discusses the background which decides the economic development pattern in those countries——the essential differences of two period of international industry transformation and gets the conclusions as follows:the industry territorialization is in the maturity stage and takes on aristocratism feature,its high wage,high capital-technique structure,high added value and high price just make people in developed countries enjoy the advantages of industrialization; the industry globalization is in the standardization stage and takes on civism feature,its low wage,low capital-technique structure,low added value and low price are long-standing,which make more and more people in developing countries enjoy the advantages of industrialization.更多还原