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能源消费弹性系数与国内替代能源预期

Energy Resource Consumption Elasticity Coefficient and Domestic Substitution Energy Prediction

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【作者】 邓江; 吴剑波;

【Author】 DENG Jiang1, WU Jianbo2 (1. School of Economics and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China; 2. School of Management, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074, China)

【机构】 武汉大学经济与管理学院; 华中科技大学管理学院;

【摘要】 能源消费弹性系数反映了一个国家能源消费增长速度与国民经济增长速度之间的比例关系,是衡量一个国家能源利用效率的重要指标。准确把握能源消费弹性系数的变化规律,对于确保我国能源供给安全和建设资源节约型社会都具有重要意义。在能源危机、资源短缺的今天,产出水平进一步提高将日益明显地表现出受制于自然资源稀缺性的特征。因此,经济理论在今后所关注的问题将是如何降低自然资源的消费。我国人口众多,是能源消耗大国,面临能源危机的现实考虑之一是选择替代能源,替代能源将大大缓解自然资源的消耗。文章分析了改革开放以来我国的能源消费弹性系数与国内替代能源预期。

【Abstract】 The Energy Resource Consumption Elasticity Coefficient manifests the increasing rate proportional relations between energy resource consumption and national economy development in a country, which is an important index used to measure the utilization effect of energy resource. To get a proper variation rule is meaningful to China energy supply security and construct the resource-saving society. In the time of energy crisis and the energy shortage, the production is confined by the sparse natural resources. Therefore, our focus is to how to reduce the consumption of the natural resources. China is a country with a large population, also a great energy consumption country; the substitution energy is our realistic consideration. The substitution energy will greatly reduce our natural resources consumption. This paper analyzes the Energy Resource Consumption Elasticity Coefficient and predicts the domestic substitution energy.

【基金】 武汉大学985工程“‘两型社会’建设研究”创新平台研究成果
  • 【文献出处】 生态经济 ,Ecological Economy , 编辑部邮箱 ,2009年02期
  • 【分类号】F426.2;F224
  • 【被引频次】20
  • 【下载频次】788
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