【摘要】 "追捧效应"、"市场锁定"一直是电信产业技术选择的奇特现象,突发性的变化后是持续性的稳定,电信技术市场突发性的变革令传统经济分析难以找到解释的途径.系统理论的最新研究成果同时表明,以均衡分析研究经济是不足以反映客观现实的.电信技术的迅猛发展,动态化特征加剧,更使均衡分析没有用武之地.以系统论的观点分析电信产业技术的市场化突变是本文的主要内容.通过建构电信技术选择管制的突变模型,得出电信技术选择突变产生的系统条件.更多还原

【Abstract】 ″Bandwagon″ and ″market lock-in″ are the amazing phenomena in telecommunication technological choice.Catastrophic change leads to a sustaining stable.The classical economic analysis can′t find the solution method of explaining the catastrophic change in telecommunication market.The latest research of systemic theory reveals that it cannot stand for the reality in super-linearity analysis.The speedy evolution and dynamic trend of telecommunication technology made the linearity useless in some degree.The main purpose of this paper is to analyze telecommunications technology market catastrophe in systematical view.Through constructing the catastrophe model in telecommunications technological choice,we get the systemic condition in the telecommunications technological choice catastrophe.更多还原