【摘要】 东亚合作经历了20世纪60年代的构想期、70～80年代的酝酿期,90年代前期的探索期以及1997年以来的启动期,如今已进入一个新的定向期。最近几年,东亚区域合作进程出现了危机驱动减弱、东盟推动乏力、安全阻力增强、秩序竞争加剧等新的特点。今后的东亚合作面临着多种不同思路之间的竞争与选择。在未来20～30年,东亚秩序的演变进程很可能是多种主要前景长期共存与竞争的局面。中国有必要对东亚合作以外的可能前景也给予完全同等的重视。更多还原

【Abstract】 The East Asian regional cooperation has experienced the periods of design in the 1960s, brewing in the 1970s and 1980s, exploration in the early 1990’s, and starting-up since 1997, and now entered a period of re-orientation. Recently it has been characterized by weakening crisis-driven power, the absence of ASEAN’s leadership, increasing resistance for the security concern and growing competition for regional order. Facing competing choices and ideas, over the next 20-30 years, the evolution process of East Asian order is most likely to be the coexistence and competition of the different prospects. Thus, China should also have equal concern with other prospects other than East Asian cooperation.更多还原