【摘要】 本文运用生态足迹理论核算了山西省生态供需状况,并在此基础上,引进最小二乘法,通过MATLAB 7.0对山西省生态系统进行了预测.结果表明:该省生态足迹需求不断增长,而生态承载力不断减少,呈现严重的生态赤字.因此,建立资源节约型的社会生产和生活消费体系是山西实现可持续发展的根本途径.更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper,we have utilized ecological footprint theory to calculate the condition of ecological supply and demand in Shanxi Province.According to the analysis we show that the ecological footprint demand is growing,and the ecological carrying capacity is declining unceasingly.At the same time,there exists a serious ecological deficit.Based on this,with the introduction of Least Squares Method,we have carried on the prediction analysis on ecosystem in Shanxi Province,and scientific software MATLAB 7.0 is the tool used to make the statistical analysis.Therefore,the establishment of a resource-conserving social production and consumption system is a fundamental way to realize sustainable development of Shanxi Province.更多还原