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基于不确定性的企业风险投资项目价值评估方法分析
Analysis of Value Evaluation Based on Uncertain in Enterprise’s Venture Investment Projects
【摘要】 企业风险投资项目伴有巨大的风险,具有高度的不确定性和不可逆性。因此,很难用传统的净现值方法来评估是否对其投资。本文在分析企业项目投资特点的基础上,讨论了随机和模糊不确定性情况下的企业风险投资项目评估方法。
【Abstract】 Enterprise’s Venture Investment projects have huge venture and high uncertainty and irreversibility. So it’s difficulty to evaluate whether to invest it by traditional NPV method. After reviewing the study of the real options of character of Enterprise’s projects investment. Under the randomness and fuzziness we offer two kinds of models and make some discussion about it. At last,combined with the NPV method and some examples,we give some evaluation to it.
【关键词】 风险投资;
价值评估;
随机性;
模糊性;
不确定性;
【Key words】 Venture Investment; Venture Investment; randomness; fuzziness;
【Key words】 Venture Investment; Venture Investment; randomness; fuzziness;
【基金】 国家自然科学基金项目(编号:70672012/G0201);教育部高层次人才支持计划(NCET-07-0906);重庆师范大学校立青年基金
- 【文献出处】 技术经济与管理研究 ,Technoeconomics & Management Research , 编辑部邮箱 ,2009年05期
- 【分类号】F272;F224
- 【被引频次】11
- 【下载频次】868