【摘要】 对1998年反衰退措施效果的研究表明:(1)由于政府预算规模过小,地方政府必须保持平衡预算且不能借贷等原因,财政自动稳定器对1999年经济复苏所做出的贡献微不足道;(2)在相机抉择政策方面,1998年的财政政策不具备扩张的特征,难以构成经济复苏的推动力。这一发现对于当前反衰退经济政策的制定和未来财政体制的改革都具有重要意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper investigates the effects of anti-recession fiscal policy in 1998.Our major conclusions are: First,given the relative small size of public sector and the specific budget structure,the fiscal automatic stabilizer played minor roles in macroeconomic stabilization.Second,the fiscal policy was not expansionary enough to promote economy recovery.We think that our research has important sense on policy designing today and fiscal system construction in the future.更多还原