【摘要】 为定量探索各省区经济与环境协调发展演变规律,运用面板数据对1996年以来各省区经济—环境协调度进行了研究。结果发现:①协调度经历了先下降后上升的"U"型曲线过程,但总体上大幅提高,全国平均水平由0.399上升到0.617,经济—环境协调发展历程受经济发展影响较大;②协调度在地域格局上呈现出东部、中部、西部依次递减的趋势,并且三大地区之间的差距在扩大;③经济是促进协调发展的主要因素,其贡献接近于环境对协调发展贡献的2倍,在经济系统内部,经济发展因素的贡献又要大于经济存量因素;④协调发展的所有障碍性因素均来自环境系统,但是制约作用并不明显;⑤经济—环境协调度与塞尔指数的变动呈较为明显的负相关性,即经济—环境协调发展程度越高,地区差异性越小;⑥经济—环境协调发展水平的区域差异主要表现在地带间的差异,对总体差异的贡献度为62.6%,而三大地带内部各省份的建设水平相对均衡。更多还原

【Abstract】 In order to explore the economic-environment harmony development rule, panel data were used to calculate the harmony degrees of each province from 1996. The main results could be summarized as follows: ① As a whole, the harmony degree, which was influenced by economy development distinctly, improved evidently with rising from 0.399 to 0.617, although it had been in a "U" shape curve since 1996. ②The harmony degree decreased from east to west. Furthermore, the gaps among the three zones were widening. ③ The economy is the main factor to promote harmony development, whose contribution was twice more than environment. Among the economic system, the contribution of development elements to the harmony degree was more than stock elements. ④All limiting factors were from environment system,whereas,their restriction were limited. ⑤There was a very significant negative correlation between the harmony degree and Thiel indices. It was to say that the higher the harmony degree was, the smaller the regional difference was. ⑥ The difference among three zones had most contribution (66.6% ) to the regional difference of harmony development level. And the level in the inner provinces of every zone was relative equilibrium.更多还原