【摘要】 文章以协整理论为基础,建立了一个能够反映我国大中型工业企业技术创新活动与宏观经济增长相互联系的小型宏观协整计量经济模型,以大中型工业企业创新投入为政策变量,以国内生产总值为目标变量,模拟运行不同方案下GDP的波动情况。结果表明,大中型工业企业创新投入对GDP的影响依次为:技术改造投入、R&D投入、国内技术购买及国外技术引进;创新投入在宏观经济中都有其内在的联系机制,只有保持一定的比例关系它们才能对宏观经济增长发挥更大作用。结论对当前我国工业技术发展战略的正确定位具有一定参考意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper builds a simultaneous equation model that can reflect the relationships between technical innovation in Chinese large and medium-sized enterprises and macro-economic growth based on the Theory of Co-integration,then analyzes the GDP fluctuation after controlling the inputs of innovation activities in Chinese large and medium-sized enterprises.Results show that there is proportional relations among the inputs.And the inputs’ effects on GDP are different,technical reform’s is bigger than others while the technical imports’ is the smallest.The results can give us some hints about Chinese appropriate Industry Technology Development Strategy.更多还原