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2008年中国石油进出口状况分析
Analysis of China’s 2008 oil imports and exports
【摘要】 2008年中国石油净进口量首次突破2亿吨,达到20067万吨,比上年增长9.5%。进口依存度估计已上升到52%。全年原油净进口量增长9.9%,达到17516万吨;成品油净进口量大幅增长19.4%,增至2184万吨。在成品油中,汽油净出口量只有4万多吨,是自1993年以来最少的一年;而柴油净进口量较上年猛增484%,达到562万吨,创15年来的纪录;燃料油净进口量减少到1436万吨,为近8年以来的最低。由于天然气和国内炼厂液化石油气挤占市场,液化石油气进口量继续下降,降幅为36%,进口量降至1995年以来的最低水平260万吨,进口量所占市场份额降至9%。预计2009年下半年中国成品油需求会随着中国经济的逐渐复苏而恢复增长,2009年全年成品油需求量比2008年略有上升。石油进口依存度上升的长期势头仍将保持。
【Abstract】 In 2008 China’s net oil imports reached 200.67 million tons, 9.5% more than in the previous year and in excess of 200 million tons for the first time. China’s oil-import dependence increased to 52%. Net imports of crude oil increased 9.9% to 175.16 million tons and net imports of refined oil increased significantly, to 21.84 million tons. Among refined oil, net imports of gasoline were just over 40,000 tons, the lowest since 1993; net imports of diesel rose to 5.62 million tons, 484% over the previous year, and the highest level in 15 years; net imports of fuel oil dropped to 14.36 tons, the lowest level in 8 years. In the natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) market increasingly occupied by domestic refining plants, LPG imports continued to decline, by 36% year-on-year, to 2.6 million tons, the lowest level since 1995 and accounting for only 9% of the market. China’s demand for refined oil is expected to resume growing in the second half of 2009 with China’s gradual economic recovery, and the demand for refined oil in 2009 is expected to be slightly higher than in 2008. The long-term trend of China’s growing oil import dependence is expected to remain unchanged.
- 【文献出处】 国际石油经济 ,International Petroleum Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2009年03期
- 【分类号】F426.22;F752.6
- 【被引频次】48
- 【下载频次】1046