【摘要】 基于完全分解模型对辽宁省的能源消费和能源节约进行了分解计算,给出能源强度和产业结构对能源节约的影响效果和贡献率.虽然计算结果显示能源强度对能源节约起到主要作用,但由于产业结构与能源节约的密切关系,采用统计回归的方法讨论了产业结构调整对能源节约的推动作用,并发现工业、建筑业和交通业的产值比重与能源节约之间存在显著的关系.通过对回归结果的进一步研究找出上述各产业推动能源节约的临界产值比重,其中工业和交通业产值比重的变化趋势推动了省内能源节约的发展.更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the complete decomposition model,the main influencing factors on the energy consumption/saving in Liaoning Province are studied,such as energy intensity and industrial structure.The results showed that although the energy intensity plays an important role in energy saving,the industrial structure relates closer to energy saving.How the industrial restructuring steps up energy saving is therefore discussed statistically by regression analysis.It was found that there are significant relationships between the output value percentages of the industries,including industry,construction and transportation,and energy saving,and the critical proportion of output values of the three industries available to step up energy saving in Liaoning Province is given by analyzing the regression results.It was revealed that the changing trend of output value percentages of manufacture and transportation industries stepped up the energy saving.更多还原