【摘要】 在论述区域水资源可持续利用与水资源承载能力关系的前提下,运用多目标多阶段分析法,建立了石羊河流域水资源优化配置模型,并计算了2010年、2020年的水资源最佳分配量。结果表明,水资源配置常遇到许多不确定性或模糊性问题,需要不确定型或模糊模型予以解决。开发建立多层次、多用户的面向对象的交互式模拟与优化耦合模型,可以解决水资源配置的许多实际问题。更多还原

【Abstract】 Water resources rational allocation is one of the efficient ways to solving water shortage.A model for optimal water resource allocation of Shiyanghe river basin was established in the paper by applying the method of multi-objectives and multi-stages decision and in premise of analyzing the relationship between the sustainable development and the bearing capacity of regional water resources in this region.Based on the model the optimal allocation of water resources for 2010 and 2020 were calculated and presented.The results showed that problems such as uncertainty and fuzzy theory often encountered in water resources allocation could be solved through uncertainty or fuzzy pattern recognition model.To an alternating simulation and optimal coupled model that is and object-oriented can solve many practical problems in water resources allocation.更多还原