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1978年以来我国地区差距形成过程中人口流动的影响分析
Influence of China’s Population Flow in the Change of Regional Disparity Since 1978
【摘要】 通过建立人口流动与经济增长之间的计量模型,根据分析可以看出,流动人口在地区间分布的不均衡状况与各地区经济增长的不均衡状况高度相关,大规模的跨区域流动人口对我国各地区经济增长的推动和对区域内或区域间地区差距的形成具有显著的影响作用,在人口流动对分地区经济增长贡献的考察中,我们还发现,改革开放以来我国大规模的跨区域人口流动对地区差距形成的影响趋势明显,在1978-1987年期间,我国的跨区域人口流动增强了全国整体差距、东部地区内部差距和西部地区内部差距的扩大,但却缩小了中部地区内部差距的扩大趋势;而在1996-2003年期间,我国的跨区域人口流动加剧了全国整体差距、中部地区内部差距和西部地区内部差距扩大的事实,但却有效地减缓了东部地区内部差距扩大的趋势。
【Abstract】 The paper uses a econometric model about population mobility and economic growth to show the unbalanced situation of population mobility in different areas is remarkably related to that of regions’ economic growth,and the large-number movers has a significant influence on regions’ economic growth and regional disparity.The paper draw conclusion that China’s population flow since the reform and opening-up also has a significant influence on the structure and tendency of regional disparity,and the population flow enlarged the regional disparity of the Whole,the East,and the West,besides the Midst during 1978 to 1987.Furthermore,the migration accelerated the expanding tendency of inner regional disparity in the Whole,the Midst,and the West during 1996-2003,but,at the same time,the inner regional disparity in East was reduced effectively by the population flow.
- 【文献出处】 中国人口·资源与环境 ,China Population Resources and Environment , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年05期
- 【分类号】C922.2
- 【被引频次】41
- 【下载频次】1055