【摘要】 以通过停车收费价格调解城市中心区的小汽车出行行为、减轻中心区的交通压力为目标,以北京市为例,通过在中心繁华地区的停车调查数据,首先利用回归模型进行初步的单因素分析,即对停车收费价格与出行方式选择的关系进行分析,进而利用非集计理论建立包括停车收费价格、公交服务水平等多因素的行为模型,最后对停车收费价格的敏感性进行分析。研究得出不同条件下,出行方式选择随停车收费价格变化的趋势,确定选择小汽车出行和选择公交/出租车出行的停车收费价格的平衡点,确定出行方式选择变化对于停车收费价格变化最为敏感性的区间,其结论从交通需求管理的角度为大城市停车收费价格政策的合理制定提供参考和借鉴。更多还原

【Abstract】 The objective is to regulate the trip behavior of cars and alleviate the traffic pressure by adjusting the parking price in urban central areas. The relations between the parking price and the mode of trip choice is analyzed by using a single factor regression model based on the survey data conducted in the downtown district of Beijing. A multiple-factor behavior model is established,which includes the factors of the parking price,the service level of public transit and so on,based on the disaggregated theory. The sensitivity of the parking price is also analyzed. The study reveals variable trends that the trip mode choice changes with the parking price under different conditions,and determines the equilibrium point of the parking price of the trip mode choice between the car and public transit or taxi,and the most sensitive interval that trip mode choice changes with the parking price. The conclusions provide references for the decision-making on parking price from the point of view of transport demand management.更多还原