【摘要】 我国大部分城市正经历着城市交通系统的重构,公共交通成为城市交通发展的重点。分析大容量快速公交系统的概念、不同类别、适用范围和发展原则;研究和提出SP和RP相结合的规划基础数据调查采集方法、数据分析的正交试验方法,可利用较少的试验次数测算出不同方式对客流分担变化的敏感性;利用选择行为的效用最大化理论和Logit模型建立大容量快速公交系统规划选择模型,给出模型变量、模型结构、数学函式和求解方法;根据选择模型并结合集计分析方法,提出基于各类大容量快速公交系统方式客流分担效果的模式选择过程和方法,以客流分担率高者作为优选方案。利用该方法,结合其他相关因素,可为我国大城市选择适用的大容量快速公交系统模式提供决策支持。更多还原

【Abstract】 Most cities of our country are in the process of urban transportation system reconstruction and public transportation has become the emphasis.Conception,type,application range and development rule of MRT are analyzed.Both the SP-RP integrated data collection method and the orthogonal test method are applied to analyze the passenger flow share sensitivity of different MRT by using small number of tests.A MRT planning choice model is constructed based on Utility Maximization Theory and Logit choice model.Planning choice process and method are illustrated to pursue the preferable MRT mode with highest passenger flow share.This method,integrated with other factors,is helpful for MRT mode choice for our big cities.更多还原